{"id":3834,"date":"2022-10-04T14:45:52","date_gmt":"2022-10-04T14:45:52","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/leadingcryptonews.com\/crypto-spring-is-inevitable-cointelegraph-magazine\/"},"modified":"2022-10-04T14:45:52","modified_gmt":"2022-10-04T14:45:52","slug":"crypto-spring-is-inevitable-cointelegraph-magazine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/leadingcryptonews.com\/crypto-spring-is-inevitable-cointelegraph-magazine\/","title":{"rendered":"Crypto spring is inevitable \u2013 Cointelegraph Magazine"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<p><strong>In another reality, Bill Noble would be just another guy in a suit behind a big desk at the Fed or the SEC, probably murmuring negative incantations like \u201ccrypto is bad.\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>He\u2019s certainly got the track record for it: JP Morgan, UBS, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs. But that\u2019s Noble in an evil mirror dimension. In our world, he is a true crypto guy, talking to me in a t-shirt with bicycles in the back of the room. He turned from the Dark Side and joined the rebels.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>He is known for his popular YouTube podcasts and TV appearances. Currently, he is a senior market analyst at Token Metrics.<\/strong><\/p>\n<h4>Wall Street career<\/h4>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">While studying economics (1987\u20131991) at Rutgers University in New Jersey, he managed to wangle one of only two sought-after internships at the time at JP Morgan\u2019s forex desk on Wall Street. Noble started off when trading technology was primitive and lots of analysis was done by hand on paper. In August 1990, he was put in charge of the desk, while everyone went on holiday, \u201c\u2018Cos nothing happens in August, let the kid fill in.\u201d Then Iraq invaded Kuwait, and all sorts of craziness broke out in the markets.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_13623\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-13623\" style=\"width: 195px\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\"><noscript><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-13623 lazyload\" src=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/charting-195x300.jpg\" alt=\"Charting Made Easy\" width=\"195\" height=\"300\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/charting-195x300.jpg 195w, https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/charting.jpg 327w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 195px) 100vw, 195px\"\/><\/noscript><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-13623\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">John J. Murphy\u2019s Charting Made Easy.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cThe price volatility seemed so extreme to me. I had no idea how anyone kept track of this. So, I went to the technical analyst who was attached to the currency unit. I said, \u2018I bet everybody comes to you looking for help trying to figure this out.\u2019\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cHe goes, \u2018Actually, no one does.\u2019 So, he gave me John Murphy\u2019s chart book [<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Charting Made Easy<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">]<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> and took me out for sushi. And I was off to the races from there using charts.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">During his years of progression through the conventional Wall Street milieu, he became an expert technical analyst, which he combined with writing reports on different markets. During crashes and Black Swan events \u2014 like the 1998 implosion of Long Term Capital Management, which nearly cratered the western financial world \u2014 Noble was the go-to guy. \u201cI\u2019m like a firefighter: When everybody\u2019s running out of the burning building, I\u2019m running in,\u201d he jokes.<\/span><\/p>\n<h4>From stocks and bonds to crypto analysis<\/h4>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In 2017, he became intrigued by crypto. He went to an Austin, Texas Bitcoin conference and started doing charts for Ether by hand, which eventually became a gigantic scroll as the price went up and down. Then he met Bitcoin early adopter Charlie Schrem walking through an airport (who has had a crypto career with spectacular ups and downs, even doing jail time connected to the Silk Road marketplace implosion). They got together in crypto.IQ, a consultancy service aiming to improve cryptocurrency analysis with stocks, bonds, interest rates and other mainstream data, which no one else was doing at the time.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_13626\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-13626\" style=\"width: 409px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-13626  lazyload\" src=\"data:image\/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP\/\/\/yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7\" data-src=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/Bill-Noble-on-stage.jpg\" alt=\"Bill on stage\" width=\"409\" height=\"546\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/Bill-Noble-on-stage.jpg 960w, https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/Bill-Noble-on-stage-225x300.jpg 225w, https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/Bill-Noble-on-stage-768x1024.jpg 768w, https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/Bill-Noble-on-stage-770x1027.jpg 770w, https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/Bill-Noble-on-stage-750x1000.jpg 750w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 409px) 100vw, 409px\"\/><noscript><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-13626  lazyload\" src=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/Bill-Noble-on-stage.jpg\" alt=\"Bill on stage\" width=\"409\" height=\"546\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/Bill-Noble-on-stage.jpg 960w, https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/Bill-Noble-on-stage-225x300.jpg 225w, https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/Bill-Noble-on-stage-768x1024.jpg 768w, https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/Bill-Noble-on-stage-770x1027.jpg 770w, https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/Bill-Noble-on-stage-750x1000.jpg 750w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 409px) 100vw, 409px\"\/><\/noscript><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-13626\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Bill Noble on stage at DCentral Miami. Source: Twitter<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In September 2019, Noble joined Token Metrics as a senior market analyst. Led by CEO Ian Balina, the subscription service provides retail traders with AI-driven insights, combined with the work of analysts researching the volatile cryptocurrency markets to assist in making beneficial trades, whatever the overall conditions.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">He explains it puts an \u201cartificial intelligence system together with my charting. You effectively have a quantitative research product, an institutional quantitative research product that we can deliver to retail, which, you know, is not, is not really around. I mean, there are data and service providers, but, you know, we can provide you with tools you can use yourself. Plus, we have top analysts that look at everything from charts macro to NFTs.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">As I recall, Sterling crashing is usually the start of contagion. $GBP has always been a canary in the coal mine. #DXY<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Bill Noble (@crypto_noble) September 26, 2022<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Noble has 17,600 Twitter followers, a popular YouTube channel and is a sought-after guest analyst on crypto TV, with his Tony Soprano-esque, no-nonsense New Jersey accent.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">He thrives on crypto\u2019s volatility, \u201cIt\u2019s 10% up or 10% down each day,\u201d he says. \u201cI don\u2019t have to wait five years in between crises. As a matter of fact, I only have to wait about 45 minutes.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Noble stresses that you need to be very flexible in crypto technical analysis and not tied to one methodology. Surprisingly, he looks to the distant past for his basic systems, \u201cGann works very well [<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">William Gann, <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">an influential early charting pionee<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">r]. I find that the systems \u2014 Wyckoff is another \u2014 anything that worked in the early 20th century when stocks were the wild west, and there were 50 publicly traded car companies [work well]. I find Fibonacci is also helpful; Tom DeMark\u2019s work is excellent.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<h4>The current state of the market<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/h4>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Taking something of a contrarian position, he sees the current crypto winter as having a long-term benefit: clearing out the market and liquidating terrible projects.<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"pullquote align-center\">\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cThe previous run-up was driven by a massive liquidity push by central banks. Then when central banks had to pull the liquidity, you had the \u20182008 crash\u2019 of crypto. Speculative assets that never should have gone up, to begin with, went back to zero.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Noble forecasts that for the crypto economy, we can see the beginning of spring, a resumption of growth, after the crash, much like the many crises he weathered in the conventional financial markets, such as 2008 or 1987. He points out that various gurus like Warren Buffett wrote off the internet and Amazon after the 2002 crash. Buffett told CNBC in 2019 that he\u2019d been \u201can idiot for not buying\u201d shares in Amazon in the past.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_13627\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-13627\" style=\"width: 604px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\" wp-image-13627 lazyload\" src=\"data:image\/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP\/\/\/yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7\" data-src=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/magazine-Bill-Noble.jpg\" alt=\"Bill Noble\" width=\"604\" height=\"340\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/magazine-Bill-Noble.jpg 2570w, https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/magazine-Bill-Noble-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/magazine-Bill-Noble-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/magazine-Bill-Noble-770x433.jpg 770w, https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/magazine-Bill-Noble-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/magazine-Bill-Noble-2048x1152.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/magazine-Bill-Noble-750x422.jpg 750w, https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/magazine-Bill-Noble-1140x641.jpg 1140w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 604px) 100vw, 604px\"\/><noscript><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\" wp-image-13627 lazyload\" src=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/magazine-Bill-Noble.jpg\" alt=\"Bill Noble\" width=\"604\" height=\"340\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/magazine-Bill-Noble.jpg 2570w, https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/magazine-Bill-Noble-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/magazine-Bill-Noble-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/magazine-Bill-Noble-770x433.jpg 770w, https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/magazine-Bill-Noble-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/magazine-Bill-Noble-2048x1152.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/magazine-Bill-Noble-750x422.jpg 750w, https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/magazine-Bill-Noble-1140x641.jpg 1140w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 604px) 100vw, 604px\"\/><\/noscript><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-13627\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Noble is attracted by crypto\u2019s volatility and ever-changing nature.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cBear markets are good times to do your homework because Mr. Market is now sorting out who\u2019s gonna win \u2014 and who\u2019s gonna lose.\u201d He is bullish on Ethereum as a Web3 backbone. \u201cWeb3 is the next internet, connected by Ethereum and Polkadot.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Noble is also bullish on privacy coins and approving quotes from United States National Security Agency whistleblower Edward Snowden: \u201cOne day, your wealth could be held against you.\u201d The central banks\u2019 push toward centralized digital currencies, which will mean that all transactions will be watched by Big Brother, will create momentum for privacy coins like Zcash. \u201cPrivacy coins are going to go from being for pirates to being for regular people.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<div id=\"mc4wp-form-1\" class=\"mc4wp-form mc4wp-form-5517 mc4wp-ajax\" method=\"post\" data-id=\"5517\" data-name=\"JNEWS style form\">\n<div class=\"mc4wp-form-fields\">\n<div class=\"jeg_mc4wp_heading\">\n<h3>The best of blockchain, every Tuesday<\/h3>\n<p>Subscribe for thoughtful explorations and leisurely reads from Magazine.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>  By subscribing you agree to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<h4>Psychology of trading<\/h4>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Psychology plays a big part in trading. Noble explains that many of the best traders use physical exercise early in the morning to prepare themselves for the stresses of trading.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cIt\u2019s really about emotional management,\u201d he says. \u201cThey also set up a research framework and stick to it. You have to have a method or a style, and you have to study to get there.\u201d\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">He explains that the legendary trader Bill Williams (who invented numerous indicators, including<\/span> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Awesome Oscillator<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, the<\/span> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Alligator Indicator<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> and the<\/span> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Market Facilitation Index<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">) <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">made his students do three pages of \u201cstream of consciousness\u201d writing before he would let them trade, to empty their heads of emotional and intellectual blocks to trading. Noble encourages people to read Williams\u2019 book, <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Trading Chaos.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_13568\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-13568\" style=\"width: 600px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-13568 lazyload\" src=\"data:image\/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP\/\/\/yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7\" data-src=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Bill-Noble-and-Julian-Jackson.png\" alt=\"Bill Noble and Julian Jackson\" width=\"600\" height=\"169\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Bill-Noble-and-Julian-Jackson.png 600w, https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Bill-Noble-and-Julian-Jackson-300x85.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\"\/><noscript><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-13568 lazyload\" src=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Bill-Noble-and-Julian-Jackson.png\" alt=\"Bill Noble and Julian Jackson\" width=\"600\" height=\"169\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Bill-Noble-and-Julian-Jackson.png 600w, https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Bill-Noble-and-Julian-Jackson-300x85.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\"\/><\/noscript><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-13568\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Bill Noble and Julian Jackson prove that not everyone in crypto is 23 years old.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Noble recommends that more emotional investors should adopt a long-term approach rather than the intense ups and downs of day trading. Hold a portfolio for a significant time and only make a few trades per month or year. With yield farming, you would still be getting a return on your investment.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">And of course, if you can hold on, then Noble says that long term, the future is bright.<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"pullquote align-center\">\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cDuring a tightening cycle, crypto is going to get hurt, like anything else, but as the tightening cycle comes to a close, crypto is the future of money.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/magazine\/2022\/10\/04\/wall-street-disaster-bill-noble-crypto-spring-inevitable\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In another reality, Bill Noble would be just another guy in a suit behind a big desk at the Fed or the SEC, probably murmuring negative incantations like \u201ccrypto is bad.\u201d He\u2019s certainly got the track record for it: JP Morgan, UBS, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs. But that\u2019s Noble in an evil mirror dimension. In [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3835,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[46],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3834","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-trending-cryptos"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v20.6 (Yoast SEO v24.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Crypto spring is inevitable \u2013 Cointelegraph Magazine - Leading Crypto News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/leadingcryptonews.com\/crypto-spring-is-inevitable-cointelegraph-magazine\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Crypto spring is inevitable \u2013 Cointelegraph Magazine\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"In another reality, Bill Noble would be just another guy in a suit behind a big desk at the Fed or the SEC, probably murmuring negative incantations like \u201ccrypto is bad.\u201d He\u2019s certainly got the track record for it: JP Morgan, UBS, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs. But that\u2019s Noble in an evil mirror dimension. 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